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Iran Talks Narrow Gaps as Asian Currencies Diverge and China EVs Take Share

Iran said the US’s latest proposal has narrowed some differences, but major gaps remain over its uranium stockpile and fees through the Strait of Hormuz, leaving a negotiated settlement uncertain even as diplomacy edges forward.

Currency markets are tracing divergent paths this year. The offshore yuan has strengthened about 2.5% against the dollar, while the South Korean won is down roughly 5.2%, the Indonesian rupiah has weakened about 6% and the Indian rupee has slid some 6.7%, underscoring uneven macro and policy backdrops across Asia.

Brussels’ growth outlook singles out Spain as the bloc’s outperformer, with the European Commission forecasting 2.6% expansion in 2026 — nearly three times the euro‑area average of 0.9%. Wage growth across the eurozone cooled to 2.5% in 1Q26 from 2.9% in the prior quarter, and ECB President Christine Lagarde said inflation expectations remain broadly contained.

European electric‑vehicle markets are seeing a China effect: Chinese brands such as BYD now account for about 15% of EV sales in Europe, a first for the region and a sign of intensifying competition for legacy automakers.

Risk appetite has improved on hopes a diplomatic end to the Iran conflict could be negotiated — US stocks closed out their best week since 2023. Markets were constructive in early trading: European equities rose about 0.7%, while mainland China and Japan gained more than 1%. US futures pointed to a modestly positive open and Brent crude traded up roughly 2.5% near $105 a barrel.

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